TRX Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path Ahead Amid Technical Support and Growing Utility

#TRX

• Technical Support Test: TRX price is at a critical juncture, testing the lower Bollinger Band support. A hold here could trigger a rebound, while a break lower may extend the downtrend.
• Positive Fundamental Catalysts: Growing real-world utility through wallet integration and expanded exchange derivatives listings provide a solid foundation for long-term adoption and demand.
• High-Risk, Speculative Profile: Current investment appeal is primarily for risk-tolerant traders speculating on a technical reversal, supported by improving fundamentals, rather than a stable, long-only asset.

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Oversold Conditions Signal Potential Rebound

According to BTCC financial analyst Emma, TRX is currently trading at $0.2692, which is below its 20-day moving average of $0.292965. This suggests the asset is in a short-term downtrend. However, the price is hovering just above the lower Bollinger Band at $0.26972, indicating it is testing a key support level. The MACD, while positive at 0.013575, shows a narrowing histogram (0.004512), hinting at weakening bullish momentum. The convergence NEAR the lower band often precedes a period of consolidation or a potential reversal if support holds.

Market Sentiment: Infrastructure Growth Offsets Broader Volatility

BTCC financial analyst Emma notes that recent news presents a mixed but leaning-positive fundamental picture for TRX. The record bitcoin ETF volume from BlackRock indicates strong institutional interest in crypto, which can create a favorable tide for major altcoins like TRX. More directly, the integration of TRON Energy Rental by CoolWallet is a tangible utility boost that lowers user transaction costs, a positive for adoption. Furthermore, the listing of TRON futures on the Moscow Exchange adds legitimacy and provides institutional investors with new hedging tools. While the 'Bitcoin Sell-Off' headline points to broader market risk, TRX-specific developments are constructive.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

BlackRock's IBIT Hits $10B Volume Record Amid Bitcoin Sell-Off

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) shattered records with $10 billion in daily trading volume as Bitcoin tumbled 7% to $65K. The ETF's price closed at $36.10, down 48% from its October 2025 peak, marking its second-worst daily decline since launch.

Market turmoil triggered $373.4 million in net outflows from IBIT, which has seen inflows on just 10 days in 2026. The sell-off extended across crypto markets, with XRP plunging 25% and TRON dropping 4% - the weakest performance among top 50 tokens.

Analysts attribute the volatility to macroeconomic uncertainty and profit-taking after IBIT's 2025 rally. 'When the tide goes out, you see who's swimming naked,' remarked one trader, referencing the ETF's 13% single-day drop.

CoolWallet Integrates TRON Energy Rental to Lower Transaction Costs

CoolWallet has rolled out TRON Energy rental functionality, offering users a cost-effective alternative to burning TRX for network fees. The feature enables Energy leasing via TRX or USDT payments within the wallet's app, streamlining stablecoin transfers and DeFi operations on the TRON blockchain.

By decoupling transaction costs from TRX token consumption, the integration preserves users' holdings while maintaining full self-custody capabilities. This development particularly benefits frequent TRC-20 token movers and decentralized finance participants seeking optimized on-chain efficiency.

Moscow Exchange Expands Crypto Derivatives with Solana, XRP, and TRON Futures

MOEX will launch ruble-settled futures contracts for Solana (SOL), XRP, and TRON (TRX) in 2026, marking its first altcoin derivatives beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. The cash-settled products will replicate the structure of MOEX's existing crypto futures, using newly created indices for each token as pricing benchmarks.

Access remains restricted to qualified investors under Bank of Russia rules, reflecting Moscow's cautious embrace of crypto markets. Maria Silkina, head of MOEX's Derivatives Market Group, confirmed the rollout during a RBC Radio interview, citing liquidity and investor demand as key selection criteria.

The exchange plans perpetual Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts later in 2026, coinciding with Russia's July 1 deadline for establishing a broader crypto regulatory framework. This strategic expansion positions MOEX as a regional leader in institutional crypto derivatives despite geopolitical constraints.

Is TRX a good investment?

Based on the current technical and fundamental data, TRX presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity suitable for investors with a higher risk tolerance. The technical picture shows an asset that is potentially oversold, trading at a key support level. A bounce from here could see a move toward the 20-day MA near $0.293. However, a break below the lower Bollinger Band could signal further downside.

The fundamental news is encouraging. The expansion of its utility through CoolWallet and its inclusion on a major exchange's derivatives platform are strong long-term positives that address real-world use and market accessibility.

Key Data Snapshot (2026-02-06):

Conclusion: TRX is not a passive investment at this juncture. It is a speculative buy for traders betting on a technical rebound from support, with the improving fundamentals providing a stronger thesis for a medium-term hold. Investors should watch the $0.2697 support level closely and be aware of general crypto market volatility.